PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-10
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.720. up 0.220 over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.026 to 0.841. 137 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.720157157
0.722230386
0.729140526
0.730244770
0.731150920
0.739901,010
0.7403001,310
0.7511501,460
0.7953251,785
0.7961,0832,868
0.7991302,998
0.8011303,128

Spread0.001Mid0.720

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.719592592
0.713140732
0.7125351,267
0.7092411,508
0.6991531,661
0.680121,673
0.67651,678
0.669661,744
0.650401,784
0.624201,804
0.621301,834
0.6171181,951

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.281592592
0.287140732
0.2885351,267
0.2912411,508
0.3011531,661
0.320121,673
0.32451,678
0.331661,744
0.350401,784
0.376201,804
0.379301,834
0.3831181,951

Spread0.001Mid0.281

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.280157157
0.278230386
0.271140526
0.270244770
0.269150920
0.261901,010
0.2603001,310
0.2491501,460
0.2053251,785
0.2041,0832,868
0.2011302,998
0.1991303,128

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
NCWYes3,618.96
bignewsagencyproYes2,500.96
balthazarYes2,237.92
BrokedegendYes1,410.77
Neumann97Yes1,359.78
FDSftYes904.6
joffreylYes764.45
0xcAA5bE9ac8d6a3706074Ec43359Fb20B73471a6E-1779765565962Yes602.65
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes199.97
LS-shipYes135.06
pitfallYes134.56
0x8e07…0439Yes99.01
bechamelYes49.97
billygodYes37.23
Sta123123cxzYes31.5
SmartBoyBillyYes30.1
PPMTYes30.01
HerrieDavisYes25.33
beer3Yes20.83
0x21ec…2676Yes15.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:17:56BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
10:36:18BUYYes0.719999998121$15.00
10:22:20BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
10:17:41BUYNo0.281240$67.44
10:16:00BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
10:15:38BUYNo0.2809999973174$48.77
10:04:44BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
10:03:26BUYNo0.280999964418$5.00
10:01:51BUYYes0.723$2.00
10:01:51BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:59:47BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:58:30BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:55:53BUYYes0.723$2.00
09:51:54BUYYes0.723$2.00
09:51:54BUYYes0.723$2.00
09:50:48BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:47:29BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:47:15BUYNo0.280999984636$10.00
09:45:48BUYYes0.723$2.00
09:45:48BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:43:20BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:39:38BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:36:12BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:33:35BUYNo0.28099992757$2.00
09:32:56BUYNo0.280999960917$4.73