PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x21ec031a0add6cb7fa83fe47ae2b7f6d10602676

Realised P&L
$-14.85
Volume
$113.14
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.39

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7800.775$2.39$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:32Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.7799999353$2.41
09-02 07:21SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2?BUY0.4299999577$4.88
08-25 19:05Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.6799999604$2.06
08-03 23:04Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.6579999943$10.00
08-02 14:06Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
08-02 01:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$10.00
08-01 04:15Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?BUY0.22$1.32
07-31 20:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999015$1.31
07-31 12:14New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 04:07Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.37$1.11
07-30 03:19Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 06:58New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-28 18:39Will Apple say "Apple Pay" during earnings call?BUY0.5799998886$1.77
07-28 07:23Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?BUY0.6899999932$5.04
07-27 15:50Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?BUY0.5999999884$10.37