PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PermanentUnderclass

0x1f182ca4c2e03e9c628a26f9f328131323afbf24

Realised P&L
$14.8k
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar51.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No0.6350.695$4.2k+$360.46
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6350.662$3.2k+$127.34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.2600.305$30.50+$4.50
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? · No0.6700.645$12.90−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 03:42Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.67$13.40
10-06 03:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.26$77.56
05-19 17:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.95$1.9k
04-24 16:08Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?BUY0.9857075643$151.51
04-17 16:00Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?BUY0.99$4.95