Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 12% or more?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.052. down 0.013 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.033 to 0.115. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.075	14	14
0.076	34	47
0.098	20	67
0.114	13	80
0.124	10	90
0.125	20	110
0.128	10	120
0.129	30	150
0.130	20	170
0.388	195	365
0.389	105	470
0.391	5	475

Spread0.045Mid0.052

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	41	41
0.004	12	52
0.003	282	334
0.002	260	594
0.001	142	736

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	41	41
0.996	12	52
0.997	282	334
0.998	260	594
0.999	142	736

Spread0.045Mid0.948

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.925	14	14
0.924	34	47
0.902	20	67
0.886	13	80
0.876	10	90
0.875	20	110
0.872	10	120
0.871	30	150
0.870	20	170
0.612	195	365
0.611	105	470
0.609	5	475

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AJSV	Yes	41
RadioCCOD	Yes	20
Numitus1994	Yes	20
wrongdirection	Yes	13.86
lolzzzlol	Yes	13
buyat89	Yes	1.51
0xa5ef…2966	No	101.01
0x539b…c64f	No	8.56

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:21:20	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
15:21:20	BUY	No	0.97	10	$9.70
18:07:29	SELL	Yes	0.05	2	$0.08
12:25:49	BUY	No	0.997	7	$6.79
23:52:22	SELL	Yes	0.0182359813	9	$0.16
23:52:10	BUY	No	0.98	9	$8.39
23:52:05	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
23:52:05	BUY	No	0.98	8	$7.84
14:31:42	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.40
13:46:21	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.00
02:50:15	BUY	No	0.77	21	$16.17