PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 40%-45%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.09. Range 0.06 to 0.24. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.256060
0.292080
0.3040120
0.3120140
0.5820160
0.6926186
0.70110296
0.717303
0.789312
0.826318
0.83110428
0.8412,50612,934

Spread0.03Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.22477477
0.2180557
0.1329586
0.1021607
0.0326633
0.02240873

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.78477477
0.7980557
0.8729586
0.9021607
0.9726633
0.98240873

Spread0.03Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.756060
0.712080
0.7040120
0.6920140
0.4220160
0.3126186
0.30110296
0.297303
0.229312
0.186318
0.17110428
0.1612,50612,934

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes148.86
FihdrzgddYes123.03
LornaPredictsYes68.7
fkpaYes45.91
AJSVYes34.95
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
tradetosurvive1Yes20
grove223Yes4.35
Hugin-og-MuninYes3.8
0xca75…0a64Yes1.2
jmprocessYes1.1
soliton137Yes1
0xa5ef…2966No430.22
Mojito9No20
cigarettesNo18.61
BobbyBakedBeansNo4.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:09:57BUYYes0.1920$3.80
05:09:51SELLYes0.1824$4.32
05:09:45BUYNo0.7844$34.32
19:58:33BUYNo0.7820$15.60
13:59:37SELLNo0.803450$40.17
13:47:54BUYYes0.1273814322149$18.96
16:31:23BUYYes0.155$0.76
18:11:08BUYNo0.8315$12.45
18:11:08BUYNo0.836987951817$13.89
16:40:17SELLYes0.144$0.57
22:49:30SELLNo0.81$0.90
21:42:41SELLYes0.141$0.17
16:21:31SELLYes0.161$0.19
08:47:02SELLYes0.1320$2.60
21:38:19SELLYes0.1620$3.20
21:35:58BUYNo0.8420$16.80
21:33:33SELLYes0.1720$3.40
10:21:45SELLNo0.8119$15.23
09:21:33BUYYes0.219$3.76
08:54:36SELLYes0.2163$32.61
08:46:11SELLYes0.2560986766164$41.99
08:19:44SELLNo0.6820$13.60
08:00:48BUYYes0.21327$68.67
06:31:00SELLYes0.243$8.60
14:14:10SELLNo0.724$2.88