Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the March interest rate announcement?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-03-03
Resolves by: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.08. down 0.40 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.08 to 0.48. 64 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	420	420
0.10	571	991
0.11	598	1,589
0.33	20	1,609
0.53	29	1,638
0.59	497	2,135
0.85	90	2,225
0.87	750	2,975
0.90	1,219	4,194
0.92	8	4,202
0.93	1,741	5,943
0.94	2,234	8,177

Spread0.02Mid0.08

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.07	350	350
0.06	316	666
0.05	149	815
0.03	250	1,065
0.02	477	1,541
0.01	943	2,484

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.93	350	350
0.94	316	666
0.95	149	815
0.97	250	1,065
0.98	477	1,541
0.99	943	2,484

Spread0.02Mid0.92

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	420	420
0.90	571	991
0.89	598	1,589
0.67	20	1,609
0.47	29	1,638
0.41	497	2,135
0.15	90	2,225
0.13	750	2,975
0.10	1,219	4,194
0.08	8	4,202
0.07	1,741	5,943
0.06	2,234	8,177

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	48.11
Numitus1994	Yes	36
richyee	Yes	29
prizr	Yes	20
podairpod	No	50
0xa5ef…2966	No	48.18
0xd00c…589e	No	20
scotsban	No	14.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:50:28	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
04:50:25	BUY	No	0.93	21	$19.53
03:55:15	BUY	No	0.93	10	$9.30
03:55:07	BUY	No	0.93	20	$18.60
03:55:07	BUY	No	0.93	9	$8.37
16:17:58	BUY	Yes	0.09	21	$1.89
15:56:27	SELL	No	0.9	20	$18.00
15:56:27	BUY	No	0.87	30	$26.10
15:56:22	BUY	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
11:52:28	BUY	No	0.89	9	$8.01
11:52:28	BUY	No	0.8899999941	10	$9.00
11:48:09	BUY	No	0.62	10	$6.20
11:48:09	BUY	No	0.62	10	$6.20
06:35:10	BUY	Yes	0.47	20	$9.40