PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.53. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.46 to 0.70. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.539090
0.541,0601,150
0.551151,265
0.56401,305
0.59281,333
0.881021,435
0.894541,889
0.901011,990
0.97132,003
0.98432,046
0.99662,112

Spread0.01Mid0.53

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.52152152
0.511,1361,288
0.501271,415
0.42211,436
0.11741,510
0.062271,737
0.051,0082,744
0.01662,810

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.48152152
0.491,1361,288
0.501271,415
0.58211,436
0.89741,510
0.942271,737
0.951,0082,744
0.99662,810

Spread0.01Mid0.47

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.479090
0.461,0601,150
0.451151,265
0.44401,305
0.41281,333
0.121021,435
0.114541,889
0.101011,990
0.03132,003
0.02432,046
0.01662,112

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes73.39
mavsgseguritasYes58.96
financegaaaydogYes26.93
tradetosurvive1No35
0x4629…f3b1No30
grinder1011No28.04
almosthereNo20
aliizNo20
UpTheStairsNo20
yrnmvNo6.97

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:01:57SELLNo0.4315$6.45
01:01:57SELLNo0.435$2.15
01:01:56BUYYes0.5420$10.80
01:01:56SELLNo0.47100$47.00
01:01:56BUYYes0.547639374220$10.95
01:01:56BUYYes0.532602733920$10.80
00:15:23BUYNo0.520$10.00
00:15:23SELLYes0.520$10.00
23:58:00SELLNo0.457$3.14
16:32:44BUYNo0.5420$10.80
15:41:12BUYNo0.5325$13.25
14:33:18BUYNo0.34999997857$2.44
14:33:18BUYNo0.350$0.14
14:33:03SELLYes0.4519$8.53
14:32:14BUYYes0.527$13.68
14:32:09SELLYes0.441$0.45
13:06:23BUYYes0.31$0.31
13:06:23BUYYes0.299999994719$5.69
12:52:00BUYYes0.5320$10.60
12:44:14SELLYes0.420$7.99
12:39:23BUYNo0.4464134989103$46.00
12:39:23BUYNo0.4620$9.20
12:39:23BUYNo0.4720$9.40
12:39:23BUYNo0.4619$8.82
12:39:23BUYNo0.45999999720$9.19