0x004F618b49d7f38300195971Df1d34Ead09C9612-1724283938888
0x004f618b49d7f38300195971df1d34ead09c9612
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $47.9k
- Markets traded
- 199
- Open portfolio
- $241.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded199
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.88at 0.320Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$152.50at 0.336Megaquake in 2025?
- +$120.00at 0.400Packers vs. Lions
- +$111.08at 0.250Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$110.68at 0.310Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 10:26 | O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 09-01 02:29 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 08-30 12:07 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.5209999965 | $38.13 |
| 08-30 12:03 | Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? | BUY | 0.1629524597 | $19.71 |
| 08-27 01:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.38 | $107.31 |
| 08-22 04:16 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.8646511628 | $27.89 |
| 08-21 22:04 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 21:08 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7385229431 | $50.00 |
| 08-16 15:28 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3699999938 | $25.00 |
| 08-16 15:20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.4399999965 | $25.00 |
| 08-08 23:08 | Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.59 | $59.00 |
| 08-08 22:58 | Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 08-08 16:57 | UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3899999911 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 23:13 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 23:13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999948 | $24.00 |