PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x004F618b49d7f38300195971Df1d34Ead09C9612-1724283938888

0x004f618b49d7f38300195971df1d34ead09c9612

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$47.9k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$241.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3780.265$92.74−$39.57
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · No0.5210.401$29.35−$8.78
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.2500.474$21.35+$10.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.145$20.47−$3.53
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.5900.049$17.99−$200.90
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1200.100$12.50−$2.50
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? · Yes0.1630.095$11.49−$8.22
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6500.110$10.78−$52.92
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.1170.041$10.40−$19.62
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2800.046$4.15−$20.85
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2800.045$4.02−$20.98
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0880.021$3.41−$10.59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.1700.025$2.94−$17.46
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0640.001$0.10−$12.93
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Vettori0.5200.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 10:26O/U 58.5BUY0.5599999919$25.00
09-01 02:29US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances TiafoeBUY0.6299999922$25.00
08-30 12:07Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.5209999965$38.13
08-30 12:03Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?BUY0.1629524597$19.71
08-27 01:242026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.38$107.31
08-22 04:16Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.8646511628$27.89
08-21 22:04Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.6199999981$20.00
08-17 21:08Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7385229431$50.00
08-16 15:282026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3699999938$25.00
08-16 15:20Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?BUY0.4399999965$25.00
08-08 23:08Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.59$59.00
08-08 22:58Houston Astros vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.53$53.00
08-08 16:57UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.3899999911$25.00
08-04 23:13Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.12$15.00
08-04 23:13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999948$24.00