PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pedm

0x2633714d653752553c5c1ec4be856c21f02e67b1

Realised P&L
$-5.74
Volume
$10.8k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$75.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5090.445$57.85$8.35
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1500.018$5.96$44.99
Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$3.75$1.25
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0440.015$3.28$6.72
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2680.165$3.17$1.97
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? · No0.5800.745$0.90+$0.20
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2500.014$0.84$14.16
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$15.00
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$9.60
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$4.00
Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$7.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00$40.57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$7.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 17:00Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.9712998$97.13
09-02 16:46Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0599999972$20.00
09-02 16:43Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?BUY0.059999989$5.00
09-01 10:46Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.8$15.99
08-28 15:41Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?SELL0.8$20.08
08-17 19:11Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.241132$12.06
08-04 23:39Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.174772249$25.75
06-28 13:25Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?BUY0.0559999983$29.00
06-08 23:14Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0989999948$16.00
05-17 15:59Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?BUY0.014$2.92
05-05 23:45US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.19$7.60
05-04 18:20Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.15$9.00
05-04 17:47Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.1399999665$3.18
04-24 17:51US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4599999939$30.00
04-24 17:37Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.0441956353$10.00