PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.18% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.59. down 0.19 over the period, from 0.79. Range 0.41 to 0.80. 29 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60155155
0.6150205
0.6249254
0.7816270
0.9040310
0.956317
0.9766383
0.981,1771,560
0.995,0726,632

Spread0.01Mid0.59

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.59375375
0.5851426
0.5752478
0.2020498
0.1367565
0.058573
0.04378950
0.031,6662,616
0.021282,744
0.015663,310

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.41375375
0.4251426
0.4352478
0.8020498
0.8767565
0.958573
0.96378950
0.971,6662,616
0.981282,744
0.995663,310

Spread0.01Mid0.41

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40155155
0.3950205
0.3849254
0.2216270
0.1040310
0.056317
0.0366383
0.021,1771,560
0.015,0726,632

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
WildanimalYes40
0x25e7…45cdYes40
GuyFromTinderYes20.17
maomao228Yes20.04
mavsgseguritasYes16
financegaaaydogYes12.15
ZhouCDYes10
rubby1337Yes4.98
grinder1011No75.17
AJSVNo47.21
Vagabund97No21
tradetosurvive1No15
cpctbusinessNo4.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:51:59BUYNo0.40999997995$2.04
02:12:11BUYYes0.6220$12.40
02:12:11SELLNo0.3852$19.82
01:59:03BUYYes0.641$24.57
22:07:30BUYNo0.349999989519$6.66
22:07:27BUYNo0.349999985821$7.40
22:04:39BUYNo0.3320$6.60
22:04:39BUYNo0.3420$6.80
22:04:29BUYNo0.335$1.65
22:04:29BUYNo0.335$1.65
17:37:06BUYNo0.2810$2.80
17:11:05SELLYes0.7312$8.87
17:10:39SELLYes0.7432$23.79
17:10:26BUYNo0.2520$5.00
17:10:26BUYNo0.258$1.96
17:10:26BUYNo0.2512$3.04
17:10:24BUYNo0.2520$5.00
17:10:24BUYNo0.2552$13.04
15:41:51SELLYes0.7720$15.40
15:01:39BUYNo0.22999999720$4.59
15:01:39SELLYes0.7740$30.80
14:32:21SELLYes0.7816$12.48
13:33:54BUYNo0.2316$3.68
13:09:02BUYNo0.1960$11.40
13:08:57BUYYes0.8120$16.20