0xE9c605549bCF2F1a2bF1Fe485422bcAA4C59E77D-1767483312579
0xe9c605549bcf2f1a2bf1fe485422bcaa4c59e77d
- Realised P&L
- $12.35
- Volume
- $211.05
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $24.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.620 | $14.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $9.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.248 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.36at 0.331Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$18.10at 0.580Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-33.00at 0.649US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:56 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 09:52 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $15.00 |
| 06-02 23:38 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2478086892 | $4.00 |
| 05-30 22:35 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 05-30 22:22 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.6494096217 | $33.00 |
| 01-03 23:56 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |