PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?

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Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.40. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.31 to 0.65. 108 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.40466466
0.41160626
0.4296721
0.449730
0.5723754
0.5820774
0.9411784
0.9548832
0.975001,332
0.988822,214
0.992,0604,274

Spread0.01Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39525525
0.38187712
0.37102814
0.3642856
0.042801,136
0.036001,736
0.01101,746

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61525525
0.62187712
0.63102814
0.6442856
0.962801,136
0.976001,736
0.99101,746

Spread0.01Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.60466466
0.59160626
0.5896721
0.569730
0.4323754
0.4220774
0.0611784
0.0548832
0.035001,332
0.028822,214
0.012,0604,274

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes100
Kimera-Yes60.97
0x4629…f3b1Yes23.31
HERO-KINGYes21
LornaPredictsYes20
TitoFlorenYes20
GuyFromTinderYes19.93
pootytherewardfarmerYes17.7
OklmntraderYes9
AJSVYes8.72
billygodYes1
0xa5ef…2966No166.49
HaradwaithNo100.5
tradetosurvive1No31.89
0xd7e3…8327No2
FihdrzgddNo1.05

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:19:40SELLYes0.3941$16.01
23:46:34SELLYes0.379$3.22
23:44:45SELLYes0.3720$7.40
23:44:37SELLYes0.3736$13.25
20:36:54SELLYes0.069$0.54
20:34:21SELLYes0.5560359635112$62.15
13:32:40BUYNo0.4420$8.79
13:29:06BUYNo0.4425$11.00
13:12:31BUYNo0.4410$4.40
10:04:34BUYNo0.448$3.32
10:04:34BUYNo0.4410$4.40
08:58:18BUYNo0.449$3.96
08:58:16SELLYes0.569$5.04
08:58:10BUYNo0.449$3.96
08:58:03BUYNo0.449$3.96
08:27:16SELLNo0.431$0.45
08:27:13SELLNo0.431$0.45
08:27:07BUYYes0.569999995221$12.00
15:01:14BUYNo0.438$3.31
15:01:09BUYNo0.4310$4.30
15:01:09BUYNo0.439$3.98
15:01:08BUYNo0.435$2.15
15:01:08BUYNo0.437$3.01
14:40:29SELLNo0.3820$7.64
14:38:11SELLNo0.3840$15.20