PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. down 0.027 over the period, from 0.029. Range 0.003 to 0.030. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0041010
0.0054656
0.2972076
0.307100176
0.308100276
0.309235511
0.339120631
0.3404001,031
0.3411001,131
0.943241,154
0.944721,226
0.950101,236

Spread0.003Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001321321

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999321321

Spread0.003Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9961010
0.9954656
0.7032076
0.693100176
0.692100276
0.691235511
0.661120631
0.6604001,031
0.6591001,131
0.057241,154
0.056721,226
0.050101,236

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
LornaPredictsYes92.1
mustbethewaterYes69.91
Numitus1994Yes45.64
AJSVYes27
pushthatthingYes10
Mojito9Yes10
Hugin-og-MuninYes5
0xa5ef…2966No339.5
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060No14
daniel122134No6.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:42:41BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:18:17BUYNo0.99814$13.97
11:17:42SELLYes0.0025$0.01
11:17:30BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:17:29BUYNo0.99850$49.91
11:16:44BUYNo0.996029934839$38.93
11:16:20SELLYes0.00510$0.05
11:16:09BUYNo0.99510$9.95
11:16:09BUYNo0.99510$9.95
18:29:59BUYNo0.99620$19.92
16:12:00BUYNo0.99510$9.95
01:43:24BUYNo0.99415$14.91
01:43:22BUYNo0.9935$4.96
01:42:37BUYNo0.993363636411$10.93
11:53:21SELLYes0.00920$0.18
03:09:27SELLYes0.0519$0.93
22:27:18BUYNo0.949$8.46
01:03:10BUYNo0.816$4.97
01:03:09BUYNo0.817$5.27
01:03:07BUYNo0.816$4.86
00:47:49SELLYes0.0818$1.44
00:33:24BUYNo0.818$14.40