Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-07-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.139. up 0.091 over the period, from 0.048. Range 0.015 to 0.305. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.218	235	235
0.219	6	241
0.228	26	267
0.231	20	287
0.236	100	387
0.331	40	427
0.340	5	432
0.361	40	472
0.391	40	512
0.421	40	552
0.451	40	592
0.500	20	612

Spread0.161Mid0.138

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.057	50	50
0.056	268	318
0.046	100	418
0.031	14	432
0.030	150	582
0.016	12	593
0.015	400	993
0.013	147	1,140
0.002	91	1,232
0.001	496	1,727

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.943	50	50
0.944	268	318
0.954	100	418
0.969	14	432
0.970	150	582
0.984	12	593
0.985	400	993
0.987	147	1,140
0.998	91	1,232
0.999	496	1,727

Spread0.161Mid0.863

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.782	235	235
0.781	6	241
0.772	26	267
0.769	20	287
0.764	100	387
0.669	40	427
0.660	5	432
0.639	40	472
0.609	40	512
0.579	40	552
0.549	40	592
0.500	20	612

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ballzi.	Yes	4,648.5
Danny283847490191	Yes	3,159.13
flawfence	Yes	2,400
BeanC0unter	Yes	1,019.35
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	823.91
PontiusPilate	Yes	796.25
Rr55	Yes	530
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	413.75
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	411.16
0xed9447AFC07D1224A84001537D795bfc24Be53FC-1769697872954	Yes	369.57
Hhgcfdd	Yes	337.76
LornaPredicts	Yes	284.93
Crabt	Yes	152.84
Maybeforged	Yes	101.36
neverhackme	Yes	70
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	65.57
tradetosurvive1	Yes	63.52
Raketa09	Yes	50
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225	Yes	33.75
arcjuice	Yes	26.28

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:28:53	BUY	No	0.9421666667	24	$22.61
02:40:21	BUY	No	0.942	10	$9.42
22:34:44	BUY	No	0.926	21	$19.35
21:18:35	BUY	No	0.93	5	$4.65
14:42:41	BUY	No	0.964	6	$5.77
12:40:51	BUY	Yes	0.0986582478	101	$10.00
11:53:03	BUY	No	0.985817	40	$39.43
08:31:35	SELL	No	0.983	15	$14.41
01:07:59	BUY	No	0.987	10	$9.87
01:07:59	BUY	No	0.986864	40	$39.47
01:07:15	BUY	No	0.986276	30	$29.59
01:07:14	BUY	No	0.9856445	40	$39.43
00:57:47	BUY	No	0.9833077988	43	$42.62
00:57:15	BUY	No	0.984	14	$13.84
00:57:09	BUY	No	0.8981337127	14	$12.63
00:57:09	BUY	No	0.896	10	$8.96
00:49:45	BUY	No	0.896	8	$7.02
21:38:08	BUY	No	0.896	10	$8.96
20:31:15	BUY	Yes	0.1479998905	7	$1.00
17:31:59	SELL	Yes	0.104	18	$1.88
17:31:56	SELL	Yes	0.12	18	$2.17
10:02:02	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
07:59:21	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.50
06:21:17	BUY	No	0.818	6	$4.96
14:53:02	SELL	No	0.8	0	$0.31