Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-07-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.180. up 0.157 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.024 to 0.232. 155 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.199	90	90
0.200	50	140
0.204	10	150
0.205	85	235
0.211	40	275
0.214	56	331
0.222	112	443
0.223	45	488
0.224	20	508
0.230	100	608
0.231	127	735
0.234	40	775

Spread0.038Mid0.180

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.161	40	40
0.160	100	140
0.151	53	193
0.118	43	236
0.117	108	344
0.116	80	424
0.115	200	624
0.113	113	737
0.073	32	769
0.070	45	814
0.064	50	864
0.052	9	872

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.839	40	40
0.840	100	140
0.849	53	193
0.882	43	236
0.883	108	344
0.884	80	424
0.885	200	624
0.887	113	737
0.927	32	769
0.930	45	814
0.936	50	864
0.948	9	872

Spread0.038Mid0.820

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.801	90	90
0.800	50	140
0.796	10	150
0.795	85	235
0.789	40	275
0.786	56	331
0.778	112	443
0.777	45	488
0.776	20	508
0.770	100	608
0.769	127	735
0.766	40	775

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ballzi.	Yes	5,637.72
russell110320	Yes	3,678.05
LornaPredicts	Yes	714.97
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Yes	526.53
donthackme	Yes	497.89
Mr.Anus	Yes	435.17
Hhgcfdd	Yes	408.17
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	364.04
0xed9447AFC07D1224A84001537D795bfc24Be53FC-1769697872954	Yes	185.13
0x6206…cf4c	Yes	128.68
-Math	Yes	125.63
PontiusPilate	Yes	122.01
TENETENET	Yes	100
0x01eee34B60059f65f8E87284c772094C0587069f-1776886506744	Yes	96.49
0xDE52764389959c64723F0369456a3d0479023386-1778526205952	Yes	86
nc3iceibvtvetvbt	Yes	74.27
Maybeforged	Yes	64.51
Crabt	Yes	56.75
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	54.53
Numitus1994	Yes	51.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:14:14	SELL	No	0.789	24	$18.75
08:14:12	SELL	No	0.83	24	$19.72
06:27:08	BUY	Yes	0.1734121214	58	$10.00
03:28:53	BUY	No	0.849	24	$20.38
02:40:23	SELL	No	0.8286	50	$41.43
23:04:57	SELL	Yes	0.1399540347	29	$4.11
22:34:42	BUY	No	0.86	21	$17.97
22:28:44	BUY	Yes	0.143	7	$1.05
21:18:35	BUY	No	0.859	5	$4.29
14:42:39	BUY	Yes	0.201	6	$1.20
12:40:51	BUY	No	0.865	24	$20.76
12:40:51	BUY	No	0.864374	10	$8.64
11:53:03	BUY	Yes	0.2161354417	46	$10.00
04:37:29	SELL	No	0.795	50	$39.75
04:37:15	SELL	No	0.796	50	$39.80
01:08:00	BUY	No	0.884999992	11	$10.00
01:07:59	SELL	No	0.788	50	$39.40
01:07:15	SELL	No	0.7927	100	$79.27
00:57:47	SELL	No	0.7881988	50	$39.41
00:57:38	SELL	No	0.7959482	50	$39.80
00:57:09	SELL	No	0.8518412	50	$42.59
00:49:45	BUY	Yes	0.1339999048	8	$1.05
00:49:42	BUY	Yes	0.1135496037	932	$105.88
21:38:06	BUY	Yes	0.1045483871	16	$1.62
20:31:15	BUY	No	0.927	7	$6.26