PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x6206f55ed577a4f0fa68eb08537aeda5ff16cf4c

Realised P&L
$202.26
Volume
$41.8k
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$497.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:06Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-18 01:51Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.6099998542$1.59
09-18 00:20Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-18 00:06Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-18 00:05Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.659999953$3.09
09-17 23:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-17 23:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.6099998988$2.17
09-17 23:51Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-17 23:50Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.8799999629$1.90
09-17 23:50Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.948$1.12
09-17 23:45Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.946$1.32
09-17 23:45Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.977$0.55
09-17 23:44Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?SELL0.984$1.24
09-17 23:36Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-17 23:36Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.5399999607$3.02