PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.065. up 0.034 over the period, from 0.030. Range 0.030 to 0.065. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1101111
0.3802031
0.74080111
0.8215116
0.99010126
0.99575201
0.996125326
0.997507832
0.9987601,592
0.9991,5903,182

Spread0.091Mid0.065

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0191010
0.0182131
0.011838
0.0101048
0.00569117
0.004137254
0.003219473
0.002230704
0.001130834

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9811010
0.9822131
0.989838
0.9901048
0.99569117
0.996137254
0.997219473
0.998230704
0.999130834

Spread0.091Mid0.935

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8901111
0.6202031
0.26080111
0.1795116
0.01010126
0.00575201
0.004125326
0.003507832
0.0027601,592
0.0011,5903,182

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x84c05043fc053cC251f16A26DF2053F9E346b885-1783332956882Yes56.88
tradetosurvive1Yes36
pootytherewardfarmerYes21.4
GuyFromTinderYes19.99
OsvaldoMarianao27Yes14.29
lolzzzlolYes14.09
youtube-traderYes10
7...44444Yes1.03
smellyEllieNo163.4
asa1234No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:47:35BUYYes0.087903545657$5.00
07:40:21SELLNo0.951$0.98
23:34:56BUYNo0.971$1.00
03:41:00SELLNo0.9314$13.02
03:38:24BUYYes0.069999996514$1.00
02:14:59SELLYes0.0210$0.20
02:13:03SELLYes0.0360$1.80
00:53:20BUYNo0.9220$18.39
00:53:20BUYNo0.91142$129.58
20:44:51BUYNo0.921$18.90