PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x84c05043fc053cC251f16A26DF2053F9E346b885-1783332956882

0x84c05043fc053cc251f16a26df2053f9e346b885

Realised P&L
$-95.38
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$46.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.0080.039$23.49+$18.49
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes0.2860.250$8.74−$1.26
Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.0100.011$5.08+$0.08
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? · Yes0.0330.028$4.21−$0.79
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0880.064$3.61−$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16? · Yes0.0710.025$1.76−$3.24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$94.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 07:20Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?BUY0.0332530724$5.00
10-15 07:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16?BUY0.0710833096$5.00
10-15 05:47Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0879035456$5.00
10-13 23:55Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?BUY0.2861815138$10.00
10-10 23:21Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.0083013605$5.00
10-10 23:20Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.0103380206$5.00
10-10 23:06Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.0239255769$13.30
10-09 10:22Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?BUY0.0179852233$10.00
07-06 19:05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0469999995$94.83