0x84c05043fc053cC251f16A26DF2053F9E346b885-1783332956882
0x84c05043fc053cc251f16a26df2053f9e346b885
- Realised P&L
- $-95.38
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $46.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.039 | $23.49 | +$18.49 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.250 | $8.74 | −$1.26 |
| Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.011 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.028 | $4.21 | −$0.79 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.064 | $3.61 | −$1.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.025 | $1.76 | −$3.24 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.16at 0.019Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:20 | Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? | BUY | 0.0332530724 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.0710833096 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 05:47 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879035456 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 23:55 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2861815138 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 23:21 | Will Ariana Grande be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0083013605 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 23:20 | Will Billie Eilish be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0103380206 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 23:06 | Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.0239255769 | $13.30 |
| 10-09 10:22 | Will Ed Sheeran be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.0179852233 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 19:05 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0469999995 | $94.83 |