PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-20
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.54. up 0.25 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.23 to 0.61. 48 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.55110110
0.56345455
0.5820475
0.59239714
0.6020734
0.625740
0.6414754
0.6510763
0.6626789
0.686795
0.7057852
0.727859

Spread0.02Mid0.54

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.53157157
0.52110267
0.5141308
0.50103411
0.49305716
0.447723
0.437730
0.357737
0.3420757
0.1040797
0.07100897
0.053001,197

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.47157157
0.48110267
0.4941308
0.50103411
0.51305716
0.567723
0.577730
0.657737
0.6620757
0.9040797
0.93100897
0.953001,197

Spread0.02Mid0.46

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.45110110
0.44345455
0.4220475
0.41239714
0.4020734
0.385740
0.3614754
0.3510763
0.3426789
0.326795
0.3057852
0.287859

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hello.67Yes791.6
0x65f7…8b98Yes611.09
zQ5da3x9V9ErKAPOYes322.67
0x567Yes181.78
WrongBy1DegreeYes170.79
TunSahurYes146.77
trillouxYes132.99
WethcehckYes94.43
0x7Ec15A5DD6223b951F0e106574592D567a0eE2e3-1779034944805Yes86.44
gogogoog-vvYes77.16
AuspiciousWolfYes73.51
hfvYes58.04
0x6daae04265d65cb2aae7fe6db4210568de7d954a-1783406213213Yes52.27
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397Yes50
PoligarchYes47.61
ehhhmYes40.69
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes35
0x941809833D47890E2383a0abf5277FACff28e9F8-1781957605159Yes33.86
0x1061…4351Yes33.47
3636yuchensuYes32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:15:25BUYNo0.475$2.35
07:51:17BUYNo0.4710$4.70
07:41:44BUYNo0.465$2.30
07:35:47BUYNo0.478$3.76
06:21:08BUYYes0.52475246910$5.00
06:08:43BUYNo0.497$3.26
06:01:29BUYYes0.529470525394$50.00
06:01:03BUYYes0.519999979210$5.00
05:29:47BUYYes0.509999998152$26.66
05:22:29BUYNo0.52$1.00
05:22:29BUYYes0.50999982152$1.00
05:13:02BUYYes0.5110$5.10
04:40:42BUYYes0.50999982152$1.00
04:25:26BUYYes0.51999997922$1.00
04:06:35BUYYes0.50999995164$2.00
03:32:32BUYYes0.530$15.00
02:48:03SELLNo0.529$4.77
02:28:50BUYNo0.4899999968102$50.00
02:03:15BUYYes0.555$2.75
01:41:57BUYNo0.4520$9.05
01:41:57BUYNo0.4557$25.65
01:41:57BUYNo0.4520$9.05
01:41:57BUYNo0.4520$9.03
01:41:57BUYNo0.4520$9.00
01:41:57BUYNo0.4520$9.01