AuspiciousWolf
0x0e0e8174e213ff2c2ccb30c5652a7b7d77c72d75
- Realised P&L
- $4.1k
- Volume
- $462.4k
- Markets traded
- 5,118
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,118
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.97at 0.142Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 8?
- +$297.85at 0.383Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$195.03at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?
- +$188.37at 0.138Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?
- +$174.16at 0.625Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.3820521862 | $65.01 |
| 10-11 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.3098212379 | $2.60 |
| 10-11 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.83 |
| 10-11 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.7899999923 | $5.10 |
| 10-11 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.1924156362 | $14.47 |
| 10-11 17:29 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.5599999743 | $1.74 |
| 10-11 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.4799999769 | $3.32 |
| 10-11 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5299999985 | $7.16 |
| 10-11 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.4699999881 | $5.92 |
| 10-11 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.2999999657 | $1.75 |
| 10-11 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1799999899 | $2.13 |
| 10-11 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.269999999 | $8.34 |
| 10-11 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6472097986 | $55.67 |
| 10-11 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.80 |
| 10-11 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.3799999958 | $26.97 |