PolyBot

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Traders

AuspiciousWolf

0x0e0e8174e213ff2c2ccb30c5652a7b7d77c72d75

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$462.4k
Markets traded
5,118
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,118
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11? · Yes0.2900.565$121.06+$58.91
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 11? · No0.6090.875$116.91+$35.56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 11? · No0.5650.820$79.79+$24.84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12? · Yes0.3820.435$74.02+$9.01
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 12? · No0.8370.850$73.02+$1.09
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12? · No0.6950.740$69.29+$4.21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12? · No0.6480.685$61.77+$3.35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on October 11? · No0.5890.700$58.43+$9.23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 11? · No0.6030.962$57.21+$21.35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 13? · No0.7000.680$55.53−$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12? · Yes0.4900.440$55.49−$6.30
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12? · No0.8200.825$40.18+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12? · No0.6690.665$40.17−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12? · Yes0.3670.390$34.90+$2.02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12? · Yes0.5980.655$28.50+$2.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:01Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12?BUY0.3820521862$65.01
10-11 17:58Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 13?BUY0.3098212379$2.60
10-11 17:58Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.25$2.83
10-11 17:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 12?BUY0.7899999923$5.10
10-11 17:56Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 12?BUY0.1924156362$14.47
10-11 17:29Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12?BUY0.5599999743$1.74
10-11 17:26Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 12?BUY0.4799999769$3.32
10-11 17:06Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.5299999985$7.16
10-11 17:06Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12?BUY0.4699999881$5.92
10-11 17:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on October 12?BUY0.2999999657$1.75
10-11 17:05Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 12?BUY0.1799999899$2.13
10-11 17:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 12?BUY0.269999999$8.34
10-11 17:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.6472097986$55.67
10-11 17:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.89$17.80
10-11 17:00Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12?BUY0.3799999958$26.97