0x10613796c4f7643e00b84086cecb71a22fab4351
0x10613796c4f7643e00b84086cecb71a22fab4351
- Realised P&L
- $-27.38
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $29.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.525 | 0.535 | $17.91 | +$0.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.315 | $11.18 | +$1.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.50at 0.769Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$13.20at 0.517Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16?
- +$12.63at 0.641Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$3.67at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?
- +$1.49at 0.909Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2799999836 | $2.05 |
| 10-19 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5266241951 | $7.80 |
| 10-19 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2764511984 | $7.79 |
| 10-19 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5245561673 | $9.79 |
| 10-19 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.94 | $25.54 |
| 10-19 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.9099999724 | $24.73 |
| 10-19 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? | SELL | 0.49 | $19.46 |
| 10-18 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.3649659839 | $14.50 |
| 10-18 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.2533673314 | $1.91 |
| 10-16 04:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $13.68 |
| 10-15 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.3612992005 | $9.66 |
| 07-17 06:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8866790974 | $13.35 |
| 07-17 03:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999986 | $13.21 |
| 07-17 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $16.52 |
| 07-17 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $16.49 |