PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=FACT&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T01:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.40. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.17 to 0.40. 22 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.42362362
0.43157519
0.448527
0.458535
0.506541
0.526547
0.538555
0.5447602
0.5510612
0.567619
0.5725644
0.587651

Spread0.04Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3855
0.37277282
0.3513295
0.345300
0.2725325
0.2483409
0.2120429
0.2083512
0.1828540
0.16249789
0.1464853
0.1338891

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6255
0.63277282
0.6513295
0.665300
0.7325325
0.7683409
0.7920429
0.8083512
0.8228540
0.84249789
0.8664853
0.8738891

Spread0.04Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.58362362
0.57157519
0.568527
0.558535
0.506541
0.486547
0.478555
0.4647602
0.4510612
0.447619
0.4325644
0.427651

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x65f7…8b98Yes252.77
BoridasYes44
tradeo39Yes34.21
BilberryYes33.36
newbie147Yes30
brightKongYes25
Edgarman696Yes23.74
twobonclayYes20.87
televisionloudYes20
a5533Yes20
0xf43e…4a4eYes8.7
cleokuhnYes6.32
sushiweatherYes5.39
GodofGamblers69Yes5
goosen8orYes5
bhuumiYes4.99
dwedwdYes4.39
Trufa-NegraYes4.35
0x0B394f7880EfFd2A7eC5F142249c032E02583189-1775605755111Yes3.35
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:37:00BUYNo0.619999990124$15.07
01:49:00BUYNo0.61999983272$1.26
00:54:42BUYNo0.632$1.26
00:18:58BUYNo0.652$1.30
21:11:18BUYYes0.309999993324$7.36
20:36:22BUYNo0.7210$7.20
16:43:40BUYYes0.325$1.60
16:13:39BUYYes0.3220$6.40
16:07:22BUYNo0.75$3.50
16:07:22BUYNo0.669999987314$9.52
13:03:51BUYNo0.6740$26.80
11:29:01BUYNo0.6719$12.73
11:15:57BUYYes0.31$0.30
11:15:57BUYYes0.35$1.50
11:15:55BUYYes0.2592087669253$65.52
11:15:55BUYYes0.344$13.20
11:15:28BUYNo0.78999998736$4.99
11:10:37BUYYes0.231$0.29
11:10:36BUYYes0.21145158735$1.14
11:10:34BUYYes0.229999991421$4.80
11:10:34BUYYes0.218501358233$7.29
11:10:34BUYYes0.22999995174$1.00
11:10:33BUYYes0.22999996584$1.01
11:10:33BUYYes0.22999997829$2.00