PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.008 over the period, from 0.013. Range 0.004 to 0.013. 60 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006394394
0.007377771
0.00820791
0.0097798
0.0104831,281
0.0133851,666
0.0144602,126
0.0152,0004,126
0.0166044,730
0.0174535,183
0.0183405,522
0.0191,5817,103

Spread0.003Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0035,3505,350
0.0025,80011,150
0.00117,95329,103

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9975,3505,350
0.9985,80011,150
0.99917,95329,103

Spread0.003Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994394394
0.993377771
0.99220791
0.9917798
0.9904831,281
0.9873851,666
0.9864602,126
0.9852,0004,126
0.9846044,730
0.9834535,183
0.9823405,522
0.9811,5817,103

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smalltimezzzYes8,443.92
mqpcdYes5,087.7
fghsrthrhrshrsthYes5,000
CaprioDiLeoYes2,279
cool.guideYes2,000
LyonyaGolubkovYes1,071.24
BrotherinchristYes800
BitgodYes649.99
hirichzhouYes538.28
MelaoYes520
FablurouYes400
mcsgYes317.39
Roadto1BillionYes200
neverhackmeYes176.67
0x2DD59253Cf037246f756b9A8a0eC2919c13015fE-1786738437834Yes166.66
oboltusovaoYes160
ElonJailYes105.1
redstar1987Yes100
0x9ce3…84b8Yes81.87
ghorrockYes71.57

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:30:32BUYYes0.00933494141,071$10.00
11:42:54SELLYes0.004963$3.85
06:27:41SELLYes0.004118$0.47
04:26:05BUYNo0.99642$42.13
03:51:50SELLYes0.00416$0.07
01:25:41BUYNo0.9968$8.35
01:13:35SELLYes0.00432$0.13
00:28:11BUYYes0.005400$2.00
23:12:43BUYNo0.996100$99.60
21:15:14BUYYes0.005200$1.00
19:20:25BUYNo0.99540$39.80
19:20:25BUYNo0.99560$59.70
17:12:07SELLYes0.00958$0.52
16:46:43BUYNo0.99120$19.82
13:26:31BUYYes0.0089896468722$6.49
04:01:11BUYYes0.0098046567317$3.11
01:28:33BUYNo0.995179$177.77
21:00:47BUYYes0.005105$0.53
20:49:03SELLYes0.00510$0.05
20:48:54SELLYes0.00510$0.05
20:48:35SELLYes0.008340304221$0.18
20:30:47SELLYes0.01257$0.68
17:40:02BUYYes0.01233$0.40
17:08:32BUYYes0.012214830682$1.00
16:13:50SELLYes0.00622$0.13