PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2DD59253Cf037246f756b9A8a0eC2919c13015fE-1786738437834

0x2dd59253cf037246f756b9a8a0ec2919c13015fe

Realised P&L
$-13.60
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$13.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.5800.745$3.73+$0.82
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0200.222$3.69+$3.36
Will White House post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0110.170$3.40+$3.18
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0130.013$1.32−$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · Yes0.0050.004$0.75−$0.08
Will White House post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No0.0630.005$0.10−$1.05
Will White House post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes0.0120.004$0.10−$0.17
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0020.077$0.08+$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0050.001$0.07−$0.64
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0130.001$0.05−$1.25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · No0.1240.000$0.00−$1.86
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 10:26Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?SELL0.999$4.99
09-11 00:30Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?SELL0.38$1.90
08-28 17:33Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
08-26 17:26Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.08$0.40
08-26 16:20Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.005$0.08
08-23 12:02Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.58$2.90
08-23 05:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?SELL0.5$2.50
08-22 12:28Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?SELL0.15$0.88
08-21 15:53Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01