0x2DD59253Cf037246f756b9A8a0eC2919c13015fE-1786738437834
0x2dd59253cf037246f756b9a8a0ec2919c13015fe
- Realised P&L
- $-13.60
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $13.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 5PM ET
- +$3.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9AM ET
- +$3.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8AM ET
- +$2.90at 0.100Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.60at 0.480Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 10:26 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 09-11 00:30 | Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-28 17:33 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-26 17:26 | Will White House post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-26 16:20 | Will White House post 160-179 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.08 |
| 08-23 12:02 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-23 05:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-22 12:28 | Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.88 |
| 08-21 15:53 | Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |