0x9ce3c1acbfe7c119cacdfcd11a10daa9de1a84b8
- Realised P&L
- $-144.47
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $14.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.68at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 22?
- +$14.18at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?
- +$12.50at 0.189Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4?
- +$9.94at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 1?
- +$7.84at 0.505Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.91 |
| 09-20 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999793 | $1.91 |
| 09-20 09:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999849 | $1.92 |
| 09-20 09:57 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 09:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.13 |
| 09-20 09:56 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.96 |
| 09-19 16:54 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169194312 | $1.89 |
| 09-19 16:52 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999793 | $1.91 |
| 09-19 16:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.03 |
| 09-13 20:29 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:29 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.91 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.189999992 | $1.91 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999849 | $1.91 |
| 09-13 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 18:18 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0150000003 | $1.04 |