Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-03
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.230. up 0.215 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.007 to 0.230. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.230	59	59
0.233	5	64
0.238	91	155
0.239	2,306	2,461
0.240	280	2,741
0.241	56	2,797
0.242	5	2,802
0.243	6	2,808
0.244	9	2,817
0.245	473	3,290
0.247	14	3,304
0.248	129	3,433

Spread0.001Mid0.230

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.229	18	18
0.228	123	141
0.227	13	154
0.226	19	173
0.225	6	179
0.219	14	193
0.218	40	233
0.216	150	383
0.215	457	840
0.214	203	1,043
0.211	473	1,516
0.210	50	1,566

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.771	18	18
0.772	123	141
0.773	13	154
0.774	19	173
0.775	6	179
0.781	14	193
0.782	40	233
0.784	150	383
0.785	457	840
0.786	203	1,043
0.789	473	1,516
0.790	50	1,566

Spread0.001Mid0.770

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.770	59	59
0.767	5	64
0.762	91	155
0.761	2,306	2,461
0.760	280	2,741
0.759	56	2,797
0.758	5	2,802
0.757	6	2,808
0.756	9	2,817
0.755	473	3,290
0.753	14	3,304
0.752	129	3,433

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ElonSpam	Yes	10,000
xzsa	Yes	4,542.01
felipe69	Yes	4,499.98
Bitgod	Yes	4,026.89
Mei-ji	Yes	3,686.54
cdecercwd	Yes	3,000
Sugarina	Yes	3,000
MilkTeaa	Yes	2,634
TweetPulse.Live	Yes	2,402.4
LazyWanker	Yes	2,048.28
AndreaPirlo	Yes	1,937.58
hulitest2025	Yes	1,802
0x4eFc2C9b8D647E82BA8eC9b6D7D151218EA0Dd07-1776920860899	Yes	1,687.45
Kaiji123	Yes	1,595.43
wakuwaku3	Yes	1,501.1
sebyastiens	Yes	1,480
elonplstweets	Yes	1,430.85
Papuasus	Yes	1,350.83
AM9691	Yes	1,195.6
amy888	Yes	1,093.34

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:55:48	SELL	No	0.771	6	$4.63
21:47:06	BUY	No	0.7742291667	240	$185.82
21:47:06	BUY	No	0.776	64	$49.66
21:42:54	BUY	Yes	0.2193146416	146	$32.00
21:40:57	SELL	Yes	0.218	5	$1.01
21:39:30	BUY	Yes	0.215	48	$10.38
21:39:04	BUY	Yes	0.215	1,000	$215.00
21:34:06	BUY	Yes	0.2149999897	17	$3.65
21:23:52	BUY	Yes	0.2149999903	9	$2.00
21:19:24	BUY	Yes	0.214892123	93	$20.00
21:12:34	BUY	Yes	0.2149999903	5	$1.00
21:11:22	BUY	Yes	0.215	300	$64.50
21:09:57	BUY	Yes	0.2058822111	900	$185.29
21:09:10	BUY	Yes	0.2024287495	720	$145.66
21:02:01	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
21:01:42	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
20:56:01	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
20:55:46	BUY	Yes	0.2	24	$4.85
20:36:39	BUY	Yes	0.2	50	$10.00
20:35:34	BUY	Yes	0.2	58	$11.50
20:34:10	SELL	Yes	0.199	29	$5.77
20:33:10	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
20:32:31	BUY	Yes	0.2	34	$6.80
20:31:10	BUY	Yes	0.2	34	$6.80
20:21:22	BUY	No	0.797	11	$8.39