0x4eFc2C9b8D647E82BA8eC9b6D7D151218EA0Dd07-1776920860899
0x4efc2c9b8d647e82ba8ec9b6d7d151218ea0dd07
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $172.1k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $490.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.16at 0.088Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5
- +$172.33at 0.229Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5
- +$134.98at 0.204Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$128.33at 0.323Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$125.92at 0.356Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 17:18 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $2.35 |
| 10-13 08:16 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.90 |
| 10-12 23:21 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.1526201615 | $198.41 |
| 10-12 15:03 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2286141215 | $18.10 |
| 07-31 04:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.63 |
| 07-06 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.52 |
| 07-05 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.033 | $8.39 |
| 06-30 20:46 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $20.65 |
| 06-30 20:39 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.2604137931 | $37.76 |
| 06-29 14:49 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1457191343 | $20.74 |
| 06-29 14:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.133 | $2.13 |
| 06-29 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $19.71 |
| 06-26 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.07 |
| 06-25 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.584 | $7.64 |
| 06-23 19:48 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1011588773 | $206.74 |