ElonSpam
0x5116ee15e86bc8878b90ac8a8514e38511eb58c4
- Realised P&L
- $79.1k
- Volume
- $82.99M
- Markets traded
- 4,228
- Open portfolio
- $33.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,228
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.9kat 0.066Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
- +$99.5kat 0.220Will Elon tweet 470 or more times August 8–August 15?
- +$97.6kat 0.071Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$96.1kat 0.174Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$95.4kat 0.170Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:29 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.0k |
| 11-01 20:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 20:27 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.71 | $2.4k |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.0k |
| 11-01 02:11 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.9 | $595.13 |
| 11-01 02:05 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.91 | $7.3k |
| 11-01 01:57 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.91 | $5.1k |
| 11-01 01:57 | Thunder vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.09 | $699.93 |
| 11-01 01:52 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.22 | $1.7k |
| 11-01 01:19 | Cavaliers vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.989 | $836.32 |
| 11-01 00:57 | Hawks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.93 | $28.0k |
| 10-31 22:09 | 76ers vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.52 | $31.77 |
| 10-31 18:57 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.8k |
| 10-31 18:57 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.2k |
| 10-31 03:52 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $500.00 |