PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cdecercwd

0x5d2d8562ec0c97be1eed9e30d28960192ca8d535

Realised P&L
$-164.49
Volume
$38.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$804.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.390$307.32+$286.58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.360$283.68+$262.94
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.114$89.83+$69.10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.085$66.98+$46.24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.029$23.25+$2.51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.1200.195$9.76+$3.76
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.5000.010$7.88$386.12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.009$6.70$14.04
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.004$2.76$17.98
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.002$1.18$19.55
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.002$1.18$19.55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.001$0.39$20.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.001$0.39$20.34
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.001$0.39$20.34
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.0260.001$0.39$20.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 01:54Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.001$0.78
09-22 01:52Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?SELL0.007$26.29
09-21 17:07Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.22$44.42
09-21 16:27Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.001$4.02
09-21 07:23Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.57$6.79
09-21 06:51Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.023$23.00
09-21 06:50Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.023$23.00
09-21 04:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.55$6.56
09-18 14:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.005$1.09
09-18 14:26Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.025$10.00
09-17 15:53Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.013$6.66
09-17 13:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.31$310.00
09-16 09:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$104.00
09-16 09:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999998$38.94