cdecercwd
0x5d2d8562ec0c97be1eed9e30d28960192ca8d535
- Realised P&L
- $-164.49
- Volume
- $38.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $804.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$755.79at 0.031Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$175.81at 0.025Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$142.21at 0.985Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$1.18at 0.988Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 01:54 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.78 |
| 09-22 01:52 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $26.29 |
| 09-21 17:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.42 |
| 09-21 16:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.02 |
| 09-21 07:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $6.79 |
| 09-21 06:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $23.00 |
| 09-21 06:50 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $23.00 |
| 09-21 04:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.56 |
| 09-18 14:45 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.09 |
| 09-18 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 15:53 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $6.66 |
| 09-17 13:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.31 | $310.00 |
| 09-16 09:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $104.00 |
| 09-16 09:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $38.94 |