LazyWanker
0xbac4990827365cd6458abd90c4c42cd41dc51ab2
- Realised P&L
- $-72.7k
- Volume
- $8.62M
- Markets traded
- 754
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded754
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.237 | $486.47 | +$64.66 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.196 | $391.00 | −$32.13 |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.115 | $131.09 | +$31.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.131 | $65.50 | +$0.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $27.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.021Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$5.8kat 0.169Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.364Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
- +$5.0kat 0.196Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$4.9kat 0.020Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:39 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.215 | $10.38 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.215 | $215.00 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2188623566 | $141.17 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $21.00 |
| 11-01 20:45 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1988 | $49.70 |
| 11-01 19:48 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2069498876 | $64.42 |
| 11-01 19:48 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.2050463002 | $243.57 |
| 11-01 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1287919708 | $35.29 |
| 11-01 19:21 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1893927701 | $27.98 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.1440019994 | $360.11 |
| 11-01 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2145373667 | $321.81 |
| 11-01 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.112 | $71.84 |
| 10-31 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.171855086 | $9.19 |
| 10-31 21:01 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1279096835 | $45.14 |
| 10-31 21:00 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1589125 | $158.91 |