PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.036. up 0.016 over the period, from 0.020. Range 0.009 to 0.068. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.04066
0.0412026
0.042531
0.043738
0.044543
0.045649
0.046554
0.047100154
0.0676161
0.06823184
0.07032216
0.08519235

Spread0.008Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.032281281
0.03112,57612,857
0.0301512,872
0.02711012,982
0.026612,988
0.02510013,088
0.024513,093
0.0231013,103
0.021513,108
0.0201013,118
0.0172013,138
0.01220013,338

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.968281281
0.96912,57612,857
0.9701512,872
0.97311012,982
0.974612,988
0.97510013,088
0.976513,093
0.9771013,103
0.979513,108
0.9801013,118
0.9832013,138
0.98820013,338

Spread0.008Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96066
0.9592026
0.958531
0.957738
0.956543
0.955649
0.954554
0.953100154
0.9336161
0.93223184
0.93032216
0.91519235

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Kaiji123Yes3,500
SugarinaYes3,000
RickRockRickYes2,600
dddtripsYes1,038.57
caffe-paperYes589
FeraciosYes500
skold0rYes378.7
LornaPredictsYes349.9
anonimiyYes300
AlexxieazYes188.83
planktonXDYes170.83
ComradeCatYes162.83
oboltusovaoYes157.5
EtherappYes135.71
Berlin4Yes126.03
neverhackmeYes116.84
Demet3rYes100
skyne7Yes100
mcsgYes61.06
MartinPNZYes60

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:05:19SELLYes0.034452984512$0.42
18:56:56BUYYes0.0368983759211$7.77
18:09:44SELLYes0.05610$0.56
18:09:32SELLYes0.0614$0.83
18:08:29SELLYes0.061$0.07
17:49:46BUYYes0.042739324845$1.91
17:27:07BUYNo0.967611862550$48.55
17:27:05BUYNo0.972138734279$76.80
17:27:05BUYNo0.96610$9.66
16:50:38BUYNo0.96310$9.63
16:50:38BUYNo0.9622410$9.62
16:33:46BUYNo0.965$4.82
16:15:20SELLYes0.041411071885$3.52
16:15:04BUYNo0.95810$9.58
16:08:13BUYYes0.058$0.40
16:00:29SELLNo0.7371$0.76
15:57:47BUYNo0.95899992296$5.76
14:09:17BUYYes0.070901779760$4.22
13:15:35BUYYes0.060999998321$1.30
13:10:32BUYYes0.0668475989105$7.00
13:07:32SELLNo0.9461$0.47
12:53:08BUYYes0.046883719522$1.05
12:44:40SELLNo0.9472$1.55
12:43:41BUYNo0.95799999679$8.64
12:42:49BUYNo0.95899997619$8.64