Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-17
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.043. down 0.082 over the period, from 0.125. Range 0.033 to 0.130. 72 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.046	205	205
0.047	20	225
0.049	25	250
0.050	13	263
0.056	37	300
0.058	89	389
0.059	310	699
0.069	31	730
0.070	555	1,285
0.078	10	1,295
0.079	31	1,326
0.080	224	1,550

Spread0.006Mid0.043

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	10	10
0.038	267	277
0.029	8	285
0.028	100	385
0.027	200	585
0.025	500	1,085
0.020	22	1,107
0.018	61	1,168
0.017	200	1,368
0.015	5,000	6,368
0.004	153	6,521
0.003	100	6,621

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	10	10
0.962	267	277
0.971	8	285
0.972	100	385
0.973	200	585
0.975	500	1,085
0.980	22	1,107
0.982	61	1,168
0.983	200	1,368
0.985	5,000	6,368
0.996	153	6,521
0.997	100	6,621

Spread0.006Mid0.957

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.954	205	205
0.953	20	225
0.951	25	250
0.950	13	263
0.944	37	300
0.942	89	389
0.941	310	699
0.931	31	730
0.930	555	1,285
0.922	10	1,295
0.921	31	1,326
0.920	224	1,550

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Sugarina	Yes	3,000
RickRockRick	Yes	2,600
InsideR5	Yes	1,245.39
mqpcd	Yes	1,241
skold0r	Yes	1,198.7
Mei-ji	Yes	515.89
0x4E1C7FCaa69C4395C72791d32DE4cA1d0c713106-1782286940758	Yes	499.96
KTLA	Yes	399.99
Fuadkrm7	Yes	396.64
anonimiy	Yes	300
amwfhv	Yes	176.63
oboltusovao	Yes	155.01
jinwei122	Yes	147.05
MartinPNZ	Yes	139.99
redstar1987	Yes	135.18
neverhackme	Yes	134.86
LornaPredicts	Yes	125.8
0xdcE0d1016eaD1525fC8c7b6513f989a60fF02DAF-1757924374902	Yes	109.72
Mommy007	Yes	106.61
poposd	Yes	102

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:15:04	BUY	No	0.96	10	$9.60
16:00:20	SELL	No	0.457	1	$0.47
15:57:47	BUY	No	0.9689999985	6	$5.82
15:55:53	BUY	Yes	0.0397076202	245	$9.74
15:13:34	BUY	No	0.9693664866	309	$300.00
14:46:08	BUY	Yes	0.04	400	$16.00
14:14:16	BUY	Yes	0.0411092982	73	$3.00
13:59:07	BUY	Yes	0.04	30	$1.20
13:20:29	BUY	No	0.962999995	3	$2.90
13:10:58	SELL	Yes	0.0353513368	74	$2.62
13:07:32	SELL	No	0.963	0	$0.39
13:01:32	BUY	No	0.9679999923	1	$1.00
12:44:40	SELL	No	0.962	0	$0.21
12:42:49	BUY	No	0.968	9	$8.72
12:41:47	BUY	No	0.9678900944	8	$7.75
12:41:47	BUY	No	0.967	10	$9.67
12:41:11	SELL	No	0.9614110842	112	$107.21
12:40:08	BUY	No	0.967	10	$9.67
12:40:08	BUY	No	0.967	10	$9.67
12:39:53	BUY	No	0.9657507895	76	$73.40
12:39:53	BUY	No	0.965	10	$9.65
12:39:02	BUY	No	0.966	8	$7.73
12:39:02	BUY	No	0.966	10	$9.66
12:38:50	BUY	No	0.9649999996	23	$22.05
12:38:50	BUY	No	0.966	10	$9.66