0x4E1C7FCaa69C4395C72791d32DE4cA1d0c713106-1782286940758
0x4e1c7fcaa69c4395c72791d32de4ca1d0c713106
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $42.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.328 | 0.365 | $292.00 | +$29.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.365 | $292.00 | +$72.82 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.285 | $190.54 | +$18.54 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.205 | $164.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.075 | $60.00 | −$98.87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.555 | $58.47 | +$0.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$416.47at 0.177Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$308.07at 0.532Phan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Tai Sach
- +$299.74at 0.572Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$290.81at 0.328Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$278.31at 0.651Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 09:32 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 08:46 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 09-19 12:44 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $78.00 |
| 09-19 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $66.00 |
| 09-19 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0733090495 | $57.96 |
| 09-19 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.098477331 | $42.04 |
| 09-19 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4683557389 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999923 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 11:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $11.76 |
| 09-19 11:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 09-19 04:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.9142493354 | $457.39 |
| 09-18 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.198592875 | $158.87 |
| 09-18 23:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2763683274 | $138.18 |
| 09-18 23:06 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3522744 | $176.14 |