Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.18 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.10 to 0.55. 100 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	120	120
0.12	63	183
0.70	6	189
0.71	24	213
0.72	39	252
0.74	80	332
0.95	10	342
0.96	13	355
0.98	5	360
0.99	38	398

Spread0.01Mid0.11

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	60	60
0.09	80	140
0.08	20	160
0.04	12	173
0.03	455	628
0.02	7	635
0.01	37	671

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	60	60
0.91	80	140
0.92	20	160
0.96	12	173
0.97	455	628
0.98	7	635
0.99	37	671

Spread0.01Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	120	120
0.88	63	183
0.30	6	189
0.29	24	213
0.28	39	252
0.26	80	332
0.05	10	342
0.04	13	355
0.02	5	360
0.01	38	398

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Aggggaa12	Yes	42
rubby1337	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	38.34
Numitus1994	Yes	21
0xca75…0a64	Yes	20
arbinglike99	Yes	19.73
0x09De43917232F634cB1f7D1D97dDC3dB4179c6D2-1774868907882	Yes	19
Quantum777	No	162.34
anotherpootling	No	20.5
xixihaha009	No	10.98
UpTheStairs	No	6.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:36:44	BUY	Yes	0.11	21	$2.31
07:14:24	SELL	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
07:14:23	BUY	No	0.77	162	$125.00
06:01:41	BUY	No	0.42	37	$15.54
06:01:38	BUY	No	0.42	5	$2.10
12:25:15	BUY	No	0.6099999549	6	$3.65
10:05:17	SELL	No	0.69	6	$4.31
22:43:14	BUY	No	0.58	6	$3.62
21:11:02	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00
21:11:02	BUY	Yes	0.2	33	$6.60