0x09De43917232F634cB1f7D1D97dDC3dB4179c6D2-1774868907882
0x09de43917232f634cb1f7d1d97ddc3db4179c6d2
- Realised P&L
- $366.45
- Volume
- $45.8k
- Markets traded
- 963
- Open portfolio
- $36.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded963
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.200 | $10.00 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · No | 0.680 | 0.451 | $9.02 | −$4.58 |
| Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader? · Yes | 0.384 | 0.549 | $4.12 | +$1.24 |
| Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.410 | $1.67 | +$0.41 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more? · No | 0.420 | 0.420 | $1.05 | +$0.00 |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.095 | $0.85 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.94at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
- +$111.49at 0.381Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
- +$75.31at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$65.80at 0.178Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
- +$65.23at 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $57.75 |
| 05-26 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $0.25 |
| 05-26 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.2314284283 | $101.63 |
| 05-26 12:01 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.2859707245 | $191.95 |
| 05-26 10:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.94 |
| 05-26 10:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $8.73 |
| 05-26 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.90 |
| 05-26 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $46.06 |
| 05-26 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $15.20 |
| 05-26 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $9.46 |
| 05-26 10:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $20.24 |
| 05-26 10:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $10.12 |
| 05-26 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $2.34 |
| 05-26 10:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 05-26 10:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |