PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the biggest earthquake on October 12, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.500. Unchanged over the period, from 0.500. Range 0.005 to 0.905. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9996565

Spread0.998Mid0.500

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0014545

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9994545

Spread0.998Mid0.500

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0016565

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x2A649050794b55b35AaD5e79425601EaCF001dFd-1762455428758Yes15
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
chirenbuyuYes5
.MentheYes5
triklozoidYes5
0x3ff7…2fa2Yes3
0xa5ef…2966No28
ergodiclabNo15
0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689No10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:09:19SELLYes0.0015$0.01
15:54:16SELLYes0.0015$0.01
15:54:03BUYNo0.99918$17.98
23:24:35BUYNo0.1815$2.70
11:48:51BUYNo0.9910$9.90