AntonDor
0xfd82c87cc605168e1ccd315c9064b4c2da22342b
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $1.17M
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.096Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$879.55at 0.630Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$648.17at 0.235Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$627.53at 0.625US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$615.21at 0.626Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 09-04 08:29 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 09-04 08:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $37.50 |
| 09-04 08:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $344.00 |
| 09-02 08:07 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $252.00 |
| 09-02 08:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $249.66 |
| 08-29 00:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $261.00 |
| 08-27 23:26 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $192.20 |
| 08-27 08:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $528.00 |
| 08-20 07:39 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.9867039886 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 09:17 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 08-02 19:10 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5849999845 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 19:09 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.5848105102 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 19:08 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $62.95 |
| 08-02 19:07 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $50.00 |