DC3366
0xfc602e9be250f1a1e512e988613a64a53b28fdc5
- Realised P&L
- $-105.62
- Volume
- $13.3k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.64at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$79.38at 0.603Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$71.85at 0.297Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$53.64at 0.150Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$49.16at 0.544OpenAI browser in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 17:52 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 17:51 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.933832688 | $120.00 |
| 09-11 17:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 13:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199999944 | $40.00 |
| 08-26 15:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $82.69 |
| 08-26 15:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $13.04 |
| 08-02 00:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 08-02 00:54 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $13.43 |
| 07-19 13:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.591 | $118.20 |
| 07-13 13:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 07-13 13:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-13 12:53 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.857 | $52.28 |
| 07-12 02:34 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0574999896 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 02:33 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.067500001 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 02:27 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.8282593967 | $50.00 |