DC3366
0xfc602e9be250f1a1e512e988613a64a53b28fdc5
- Realised P&L
- $32.30
- Volume
- $12.6k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.80at 0.591Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$80.91at 0.110Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$72.24at 0.293Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?
- +$53.64at 0.150Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
- +$49.16at 0.544OpenAI browser in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 08-02 00:54 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $13.43 |
| 07-19 13:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.591 | $118.20 |
| 07-13 13:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 07-13 13:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 07-13 12:53 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | SELL | 0.857 | $52.28 |
| 07-12 02:34 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0574999896 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 02:33 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.067500001 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 02:27 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.8282593967 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:34 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.8584998376 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 23:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.0025 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 04:00 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.817 | $163.39 |
| 07-08 21:47 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 21:46 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-08 21:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |