PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BenjaminNetAnYahoo

0xfb461c16ef90a513e1412f1d53c1021ece14f68b

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$710.4k
Markets traded
497
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded497
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.965$204.25+$24.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6550.865$198.05+$48.05
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.935$179.81+$29.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.905$174.04+$24.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6580.853$170.05+$38.80
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.5870.695$139.63+$21.63
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.915$135.56+$15.56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3990.260$130.36−$69.64
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.895$111.88+$53.13
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4700.795$109.95+$44.95
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8800.955$95.50+$7.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6630.825$93.29+$18.28
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · No0.6600.905$90.50+$24.50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.7000.945$84.38+$21.88
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · No0.5790.825$82.62+$24.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 21:46Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$107.50
10-02 21:44US strike on Mexico by December 31?SELL0.92$101.06
09-27 19:35Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.881$58.57
09-27 19:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$80.37
09-26 21:00Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$160.74
09-01 15:11Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$91.68
09-01 15:10Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?SELL0.91$63.70
09-01 15:09Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.95$163.79
08-16 23:46Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8229999994$75.00
08-16 23:46Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?SELL0.41$80.96
08-16 23:45Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.5851297647$30.00
08-16 23:44Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?SELL0.92$82.14
08-10 17:41Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4699999912$23.00
08-10 17:34US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?BUY0.2599999935$20.00
08-10 17:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0490000006$4.00