BenjaminNetAnYahoo
0xfb461c16ef90a513e1412f1d53c1021ece14f68b
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $710.4k
- Markets traded
- 497
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded497
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$607.88at 0.672Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
- +$490.85at 0.534Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
- +$475.35at 0.643Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
- +$459.53at 0.807Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
- +$421.85at 0.310Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:46 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $107.50 |
| 10-02 21:44 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $101.06 |
| 09-27 19:35 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.881 | $58.57 |
| 09-27 19:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $80.37 |
| 09-26 21:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $160.74 |
| 09-01 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $91.68 |
| 09-01 15:10 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $63.70 |
| 09-01 15:09 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $163.79 |
| 08-16 23:46 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8229999994 | $75.00 |
| 08-16 23:46 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.41 | $80.96 |
| 08-16 23:45 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.5851297647 | $30.00 |
| 08-16 23:44 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $82.14 |
| 08-10 17:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999912 | $23.00 |
| 08-10 17:34 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 17:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0490000006 | $4.00 |