Basque
0xfb26f6f4ca742cab4e47c4d54efd960906d006f7
- Realised P&L
- $569.14
- Volume
- $53.3k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.57at 0.339Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
- +$130.76at 0.276US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$82.84at 0.792European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$74.63at 0.800US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$59.16at 0.154Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 14:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 06:07 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $99.23 |
| 09-11 10:56 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.900688768 | $120.00 |
| 09-11 10:51 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $115.23 |
| 09-08 12:33 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.9806815833 | $117.68 |
| 09-08 12:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.9199999997 | $130.00 |
| 08-26 08:16 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.422888841 | $137.41 |
| 08-25 06:11 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $74.40 |
| 08-25 06:11 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $73.60 |
| 08-25 06:09 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $130.19 |
| 08-25 06:08 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 08-23 13:09 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 08-22 15:07 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 08-21 14:49 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 08-21 14:47 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |