Basque
0xfb26f6f4ca742cab4e47c4d54efd960906d006f7
- Realised P&L
- $698.20
- Volume
- $58.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.83at 0.278Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?
- +$176.57at 0.339Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?
- +$130.76at 0.276US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$110.14at 0.084Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$82.84at 0.792European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:18 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8985359853 | $150.00 |
| 10-25 17:48 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $114.70 |
| 10-25 17:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8953869661 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 18:09 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $365.93 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | SELL | 0.979 | $120.60 |
| 10-15 07:58 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.0811720451 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 07:58 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 08:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.9901512385 | $139.91 |
| 10-11 08:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 08:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-06 05:44 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.809381192 | $83.66 |
| 10-02 08:02 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9888002702 | $131.74 |
| 09-26 16:06 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.928761978 | $100.00 |
| 09-25 14:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.964 | $103.59 |