PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Basque

0xfb26f6f4ca742cab4e47c4d54efd960906d006f7

Realised P&L
$698.20
Volume
$58.3k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:18US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8985359853$150.00
10-25 17:48NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.975$114.70
10-25 17:47NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8953869661$100.00
10-16 18:09NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$100.00
10-16 17:59Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?SELL0.988$365.93
10-16 17:59Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?SELL0.979$120.60
10-15 07:58Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.0811720451$10.00
10-15 07:58Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
10-11 08:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.9901512385$139.91
10-11 08:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
10-10 08:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.9299999997$100.00
10-06 05:44Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?SELL0.809381192$83.66
10-02 08:02Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9888002702$131.74
09-26 16:06Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.928761978$100.00
09-25 14:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.964$103.59