Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Rewards
- 40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | 193 | 193 |
| 0.70 | 281 | 474 |
| 0.75 | 44 | 518 |
| 0.76 | 64 | 582 |
| 0.81 | 62 | 644 |
| 0.89 | 9 | 653 |
| 0.92 | 6 | 659 |
| 0.93 | 14 | 673 |
| 0.95 | 41 | 714 |
| 0.96 | 25 | 739 |
| 0.97 | 8 | 747 |
| 0.98 | 50 | 797 |
Spread0.04Mid0.67
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | 278 | 278 |
| 0.64 | 164 | 442 |
| 0.59 | 17 | 459 |
| 0.58 | 19 | 478 |
| 0.57 | 100 | 578 |
| 0.54 | 100 | 678 |
| 0.38 | 20 | 698 |
| 0.37 | 100 | 798 |
| 0.19 | 200 | 998 |
| 0.18 | 153 | 1,151 |
| 0.16 | 325 | 1,476 |
| 0.15 | 1,500 | 2,976 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.35 | 278 | 278 |
| 0.36 | 164 | 442 |
| 0.41 | 17 | 459 |
| 0.42 | 19 | 478 |
| 0.43 | 100 | 578 |
| 0.46 | 100 | 678 |
| 0.62 | 20 | 698 |
| 0.63 | 100 | 798 |
| 0.81 | 200 | 998 |
| 0.82 | 153 | 1,151 |
| 0.84 | 325 | 1,476 |
| 0.85 | 1,500 | 2,976 |
Spread0.04Mid0.33
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.31 | 193 | 193 |
| 0.30 | 281 | 474 |
| 0.25 | 44 | 518 |
| 0.24 | 64 | 582 |
| 0.19 | 62 | 644 |
| 0.11 | 9 | 653 |
| 0.08 | 6 | 659 |
| 0.07 | 14 | 673 |
| 0.05 | 41 | 714 |
| 0.04 | 25 | 739 |
| 0.03 | 8 | 747 |
| 0.02 | 50 | 797 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Olcan | Yes | 63.69 |
| signalso | Yes | 20 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| 0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223 | Yes | 10 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 25.67 |
| winexecutescale | No | 22 |
| AMAM13 | No | 21 |
| AJSV | No | 15.44 |
| 0x9032…267b | No | 15 |
| fvfvf3222 | No | 8.33 |
| qqqppp-l1 | No | 6.25 |
| 0xa39Fe164c54030B5f3Dc3D93Ac550a8Bed83fBDB-1768116899785 | No | 5 |
| Pablo34234 | No | 5 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:02:11 | BUY | No | 0.28 | 5 | $1.40 |
| 04:02:09 | BUY | Yes | 0.72 | 5 | $3.60 |
| 02:19:06 | SELL | Yes | 0.73 | 38 | $27.98 |
| 02:19:02 | SELL | Yes | 0.73 | 38 | $27.98 |
| 15:11:27 | BUY | No | 0.37 | 15 | $5.55 |
| 22:36:54 | SELL | Yes | 0.85 | 30 | $25.50 |
| 22:04:57 | SELL | Yes | 0.69 | 20 | $13.80 |
| 21:20:57 | BUY | No | 0.2 | 20 | $4.00 |
| 12:51:21 | BUY | Yes | 0.68 | 30 | $20.40 |
| 04:06:46 | BUY | Yes | 0.6521739096 | 38 | $25.00 |
| 10:14:21 | SELL | Yes | 0.71 | 50 | $35.50 |
| 19:15:09 | SELL | No | 0.3 | 14 | $4.20 |
| 19:15:01 | SELL | No | 0.303 | 20 | $6.06 |
| 17:35:27 | SELL | Yes | 0.7966666667 | 126 | $100.38 |
| 17:34:10 | BUY | Yes | 0.6149122807 | 143 | $87.62 |
| 17:34:36 | SELL | Yes | 0.73 | 47 | $34.45 |
| 17:34:25 | SELL | Yes | 0.7568474848 | 150 | $113.29 |
| 17:09:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.78 | 10 | $7.80 |
| 17:05:42 | BUY | No | 0.25 | 21 | $5.25 |
| 17:05:40 | SELL | Yes | 0.7701639344 | 61 | $46.98 |
| 16:56:04 | SELL | Yes | 0.77 | 20 | $15.39 |
| 16:55:00 | SELL | Yes | 0.77 | 0 | $0.01 |
| 16:54:58 | SELL | No | 0.1815 | 50 | $9.07 |
| 16:54:55 | BUY | Yes | 0.7288235294 | 170 | $123.90 |
| 16:02:19 | BUY | No | 0.28 | 20 | $5.60 |