bubblylobster
0xf6c294030284ad477e811e25e9c429374a9e9d1a
- Realised P&L
- $0.48
- Volume
- $390.94
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $241.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.46at 0.650Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$-0.98at 0.727Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 03:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-17 03:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7 | $13.99 |
| 10-17 02:57 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.961 | $9.95 |
| 10-17 02:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.13 |
| 10-17 02:57 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $7.14 |
| 10-17 02:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.91 | $13.39 |
| 10-17 02:56 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $33.37 |
| 10-17 02:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.19 |
| 10-17 02:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7 | $6.71 |
| 10-16 06:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-16 05:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.37 |
| 10-16 05:48 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $9.23 |
| 10-16 05:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.92 | $14.12 |
| 10-16 05:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.72 |
| 10-15 15:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.98 |