PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kirit4

0xf60fb8fa9df77178ce3b2a0efc86d28ec4e957a8

Realised P&L
$-157.49
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$345.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8360.841$60.32+$0.32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5400.785$43.61+$13.61
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8380.786$28.14−$1.86
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1600.215$26.88+$6.88
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · Yes0.0900.225$25.00+$15.00
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8900.935$21.01+$1.01
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.0630.032$10.20−$9.80
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.4600.465$10.11+$0.11
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1380.140$10.11+$0.11
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.5500.555$10.09+$0.09
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.3900.390$10.00+$0.00
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.1500.150$10.00+$0.00
Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.5800.570$9.83−$0.17
Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · No0.4000.385$9.63−$0.38
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · Yes0.2000.190$9.50−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 01:51Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.4299999991$10.00
10-19 01:51Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.4$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.459999988$10.00
10-19 01:50Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
10-19 01:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.3899999945$10.00
10-19 01:41Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1379999983$10.00
10-18 22:45Will Trump say "Weave" in October?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
10-18 22:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$25.59
10-14 23:48Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?BUY0.8199999967$5.00
10-14 23:47Will Trump say "Mardi Gras" this week?BUY0.5399999568$5.00
10-14 23:46Will Trump say "Coal" or "Diesel" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?BUY0.119999999$5.00