kirit4
0xf60fb8fa9df77178ce3b2a0efc86d28ec4e957a8
- Realised P&L
- $-157.49
- Volume
- $42.4k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $345.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.03at 0.109Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August?
- +$73.14at 0.369Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in September?
- +$56.33at 0.155Will Trump say "Hottest" during Tribute to America Rally?
- +$45.49at 0.570Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
- +$42.89at 0.194Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:51 | Will Trump say "Drag Show" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:51 | Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:50 | Will Trump say "Tax" 33+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 01:41 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1379999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 22:45 | Will Trump say "Weave" in October? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 22:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $25.59 |
| 10-14 23:48 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 23:47 | Will Trump say "Mardi Gras" this week? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 23:46 | Will Trump say "Coal" or "Diesel" during his Midterm Rally in Montana? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |