0xf41d4826aa75091b54553015efc7d0bc8abf5e45
- Realised P&L
- $-492.43
- Volume
- $36.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,327
- Open portfolio
- $138.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,327
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.98at 0.527Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?
- +$36.54at 0.497Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 6?
- +$35.93at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$35.13at 0.710Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
- +$32.12at 0.468Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:10 | Solana Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.16 |
| 09-21 03:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5899998104 | $1.12 |
| 09-21 03:08 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.829999838 | $1.23 |
| 09-21 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $3.32 |
| 09-21 03:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.42 |
| 09-21 03:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999533 | $1.84 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7399998648 | $2.19 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999735 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8899998027 | $2.12 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7399998767 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999671 | $1.85 |
| 09-21 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999795 | $3.70 |
| 09-21 03:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5199997881 | $1.08 |
| 09-21 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.09 |
| 09-21 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $2.10 |