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Traders

firewalker923

0xef5406737e5bdc47067258b8a057022c48f9c997

Realised P&L
$521.48
Volume
$281.3k
Markets traded
1,101
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,101
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8150.945$800.89+$110.06
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4730.720$764.18+$261.89
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.3210.935$723.16+$474.85
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.925$686.50+$107.89
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.8520.960$524.18+$58.70
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.940$400.97+$42.80
Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4330.175$356.98−$526.88
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6890.745$285.41+$21.56
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? · Yes0.6760.400$280.00−$193.35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4870.705$211.50+$65.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2830.967$188.37+$133.22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? · No0.9280.950$170.55+$4.00
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes0.5900.760$152.00+$34.00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.715$143.00+$43.00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · No0.7350.700$140.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:35Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.7$119.00
10-25 23:43Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.54$32.40
10-25 16:13Spread: Texans (-9.5)BUY0.55$99.00
10-24 23:59Spread: UTSA (-2.5)BUY0.54$59.40
10-24 23:55Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.42$56.28
10-24 22:31Colorado vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 55.5BUY0.5$30.00
10-23 19:45Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5)BUY0.52$62.40
10-22 21:57Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5BUY0.52$104.00
10-22 21:57Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.968$106.48
10-22 21:28Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 51.5BUY0.54$59.40
10-22 21:26Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.968$58.08
10-21 21:32Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.78$101.40
10-20 19:12Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)BUY0.51$99.91
10-18 18:45Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0408884027$18.32
10-18 18:45Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?SELL0.984$39.36