firewalker923
0xef5406737e5bdc47067258b8a057022c48f9c997
- Realised P&L
- $521.48
- Volume
- $281.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,101
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,101
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$833.07at 0.468Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?
- +$431.16at 0.136Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$388.54at 0.888Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
- +$341.48at 0.232Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
- +$311.57at 0.306Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:35 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $119.00 |
| 10-25 23:43 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 10-25 16:13 | Spread: Texans (-9.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $99.00 |
| 10-24 23:59 | Spread: UTSA (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $59.40 |
| 10-24 23:55 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.42 | $56.28 |
| 10-24 22:31 | Colorado vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 55.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 19:45 | Spread: Miami (FL) (-19.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $62.40 |
| 10-22 21:57 | Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-22 21:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $106.48 |
| 10-22 21:28 | Liberty vs. Kennesaw State: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $59.40 |
| 10-22 21:26 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.968 | $58.08 |
| 10-21 21:32 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $101.40 |
| 10-20 19:12 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $99.91 |
| 10-18 18:45 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0408884027 | $18.32 |
| 10-18 18:45 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $39.36 |