Clarence333
0xee4fa6f3516ff02a9bc44d8c86a767283197b168
- Realised P&L
- $-611.03
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $538.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.53at 0.082Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$48.46at 0.650Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$30.76at 0.245Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Xinxin Yao
- +$25.25at 0.442Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 10:45 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2338634238 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 09:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 11:43 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 09:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 09:47 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2780000079 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 07:41 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999975 | $9.00 |
| 07-06 15:10 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 10:23 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 14:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.39599998 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 09:08 | Will United States win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 09:08 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 09:08 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 11:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 11:48 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |