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Traders

Clarence333

0xee4fa6f3516ff02a9bc44d8c86a767283197b168

Realised P&L
$-611.03
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$538.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8300.922$111.08+$11.08
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.6710.865$106.32+$23.78
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5350.645$36.15+$6.15
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 · Yes0.1100.305$27.73+$17.73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2200.195$22.62$2.90
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2800.207$22.23$7.77
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2660.188$21.81$9.19
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.2820.054$19.13$80.87
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4400.395$17.95$2.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7701.000$12.99+$2.99
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7080.848$11.97+$1.97
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2780.298$10.74+$0.74
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.018$10.60$23.29
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.670$10.58+$1.58
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8600.865$10.06+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 14:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
07-29 10:45Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2338634238$5.00
07-27 09:27Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-20 11:43Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?BUY0.08$5.00
07-08 09:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699999877$10.00
07-08 09:47Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2780000079$10.00
07-07 07:41Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999975$9.00
07-06 15:10Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.389999986$10.00
07-05 10:23Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5099999786$10.00
07-04 14:58Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.39599998$10.00
07-04 09:08Will United States win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
07-04 09:08Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
07-04 09:08Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
07-03 11:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
07-03 11:48Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5299999972$30.00