Will there be at least 5800 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-01
Resolves by: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.55. Range 0.30 to 0.60. 57 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	172	172
0.83	5	177
0.85	100	277
0.93	50	327
0.97	150	477
0.98	250	727
0.99	550	1,277

Spread0.52Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.30	17	17
0.28	20	37
0.26	45	82
0.14	89	171
0.13	115	286
0.12	150	436
0.10	100	536
0.05	200	736
0.04	250	986
0.01	550	1,536

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.70	17	17
0.72	20	37
0.74	45	82
0.86	89	171
0.87	115	286
0.88	150	436
0.90	100	536
0.95	200	736
0.96	250	986
0.99	550	1,536

Spread0.52Mid0.44

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	172	172
0.17	5	177
0.15	100	277
0.07	50	327
0.03	150	477
0.02	250	727
0.01	550	1,277

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	120
fElon	Yes	3.14
MorfisCrypto	No	80
gotonetry33	No	23.14
nagibator01	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:09:33	BUY	No	0.6481481369	23	$15.00
22:52:45	BUY	Yes	0.42	20	$8.40
20:36:06	BUY	Yes	0.39	80	$31.20
19:40:33	BUY	Yes	0.36	20	$7.20
20:04:25	BUY	Yes	0.38	20	$7.60