f3ita
0xe7889e994282bb732c2fc44861300fa0d2c3736b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $2.01M
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.33at 0.420Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$194.77at 0.549US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$173.15at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$149.78at 0.005Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$142.73at 0.094Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 08:05 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $13.05 |
| 10-30 23:49 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $237.50 |
| 10-29 19:04 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.44 |
| 10-29 17:53 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.89 |
| 10-29 17:49 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.06 |
| 10-29 17:49 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.14 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.18 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.01 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.02 |
| 10-29 17:48 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.885 | $41.11 |
| 10-29 17:47 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.885 | $146.36 |
| 10-29 17:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.942 | $24.78 |
| 10-29 17:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.942 | $2.30 |
| 10-29 17:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.942 | $23.59 |
| 10-26 07:55 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.948 | $22.55 |