PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

f3ita

0xe7889e994282bb732c2fc44861300fa0d2c3736b

Realised P&L
$-7.1k
Volume
$2.01M
Markets traded
171
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded171
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.980$335.35+$6.04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9540.971$325.60+$5.67
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.007$299.10−$59.82
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8050.795$225.76−$2.77
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$203.68−$8.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8210.877$188.79+$12.24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7690.955$135.74+$26.38
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2530.155$120.12−$76.07
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7020.899$110.24+$24.18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8400.945$103.91+$11.55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.825$82.50−$0.50
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.002$71.11−$381.30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.8500.966$36.80+$4.42
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8500.215$32.25−$95.25
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$16.63−$22.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 08:05Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.971$13.05
10-30 23:49Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.95$237.50
10-29 19:04Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$1.44
10-29 17:53Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$0.89
10-29 17:49Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$0.06
10-29 17:49Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$0.14
10-29 17:48Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$9.18
10-29 17:48Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$0.01
10-29 17:48Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.91$0.02
10-29 17:48Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.885$41.11
10-29 17:47Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.885$146.36
10-29 17:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?SELL0.942$24.78
10-29 17:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?SELL0.942$2.30
10-29 17:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?SELL0.942$23.59
10-26 07:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.948$22.55