Pump
0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd
- Realised P&L
- $50.4k
- Volume
- $6.46M
- Markets traded
- 605
- Open portfolio
- $36.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded605
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.4kat 0.546Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$5.2kat 0.443US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.7kat 0.560US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$4.3kat 0.601SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
- +$3.9kat 0.665Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:27 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.0276774194 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 22:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2369626936 | $196.14 |
| 10-31 21:35 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0498098641 | $51.30 |
| 10-31 21:33 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.0597146309 | $8.90 |
| 10-31 19:02 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.19 |
| 10-31 18:42 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.0591309771 | $13.65 |
| 10-31 18:17 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? | BUY | 0.2842329454 | $634.98 |
| 10-31 17:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $281.32 |
| 10-31 17:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $544.46 |
| 10-31 17:22 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $718.16 |
| 10-31 15:30 | Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2462312562 | $248.94 |
| 10-31 14:04 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.99062944 | $495.31 |
| 10-31 12:56 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.26 |
| 10-31 01:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6619391444 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 01:40 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.0321740435 | $12.44 |