PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

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0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd

Realised P&L
$52.5k
Volume
$6.15M
Markets traded
548
Open portfolio
$8.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded548
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.4250.457$4.2k+$291.66
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.4130.455$1.1k+$104.32
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.037$957.16$57.46
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · No0.4870.455$819.49$57.52
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0460.100$442.51+$236.99
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · Yes0.4670.325$297.64$129.61
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.425T by September 30? · No0.4960.830$126.99+$51.02
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.375T by September 30? · Yes0.5700.280$28.00$29.00
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · Yes0.0610.028$27.23$33.52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17? · No0.0140.004$16.07$49.15
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · No0.0100.002$6.44$25.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:52Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?SELL0.002$0.64
09-16 23:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.008$23.25
09-16 20:09Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?SELL0.16$0.16
09-16 19:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?SELL0.0191871756$49.32
09-16 19:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?SELL0.023$44.99
09-16 19:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.01$10.00
09-16 19:32Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.01$10.40
09-16 19:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.026$46.06
09-16 19:23Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.01$5.00
09-16 19:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.025$54.00
09-16 19:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17?BUY0.01$10.00
09-16 19:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?BUY0.024$54.71
09-16 18:00Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?SELL0.14$70.00
09-16 17:10Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?BUY0.15$150.00
09-16 11:56Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during September Press Conference?BUY0.3586711656$130.75