akum4
0xe393b4c4d81ec9f4e32bc27040419da241908364
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $40.9k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.735SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
- +$144.06at 0.051Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$104.67at 0.809Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$55.06at 0.009Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$53.94at 0.732US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 00:48 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.09 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 10:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.96 |
| 09-19 10:28 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 09-19 10:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 09-19 10:24 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 09-15 20:45 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-15 14:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.46 | $5.52 |
| 09-15 13:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.13 | $38.22 |
| 09-14 05:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 09-13 09:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.959 | $9.59 |
| 09-13 09:44 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 09-12 22:08 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.699 | $6.99 |
| 09-12 00:37 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.04 |
| 09-11 23:53 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.877 | $8.77 |
| 09-11 21:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |