PolyBot

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Traders

akum4

0xe393b4c4d81ec9f4e32bc27040419da241908364

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.9130.972$273.13+$16.57
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.8060.910$200.33+$22.85
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3560.195$125.59−$103.92
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.8800.905$101.36+$2.80
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.028$86.02+$23.82
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.1900.225$38.70+$5.96
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.9950.992$31.52−$0.10
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2610.113$31.37−$41.13
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · No0.2910.265$23.59−$2.32
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1150.115$19.90−$0.06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · No0.9600.989$19.77+$0.58
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.6800.935$18.70+$5.10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3530.275$16.50−$4.70
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2050.066$15.37−$32.51
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.8200.885$11.68+$0.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 00:48Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.09$3.60
09-19 10:30Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.28$1.96
09-19 10:28Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.28$2.24
09-19 10:26Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.28$2.80
09-19 10:24Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.28$2.24
09-15 20:45US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.87$8.70
09-15 14:362026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.46$5.52
09-15 13:26Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$38.22
09-14 05:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$1.68
09-13 09:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.959$9.59
09-13 09:442026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.96$9.60
09-12 22:08No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.699$6.99
09-12 00:37Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.08$1.04
09-11 23:53Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?BUY0.877$8.77
09-11 21:18Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.32$1.60